What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 Index on 19 June 2020 relative to its closing value on 19 March 2020?
Started
Mar 20, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 19, 2020 06:59AM UTC
Closed Jun 19, 2020 06:59AM UTC
Challenges
The outcome will be determined using data as reported by Bloomberg (Bloomberg). The S&P 500 Index closed at 2,409.39 on 19 March 2020.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
The question closed "Up more than 15.0%" with a closing date of 19 June 2020.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Down more than 15.0% | 0% | |
| Down between 5.0% and 15.0%, inclusive | 0% | |
| Between down less than 5.0% and up less than 5.0% | 0% | |
| Up between 5.0% and 15.0%, inclusive | 0% | |
| Up more than 15.0% | 100% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 344 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 183 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 1122 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 533 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
