What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 Index on 19 June 2020 relative to its closing value on 19 March 2020?
Started
Mar 20, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 19, 2020 06:59AM UTC
Closed Jun 19, 2020 06:59AM UTC
Challenges
The outcome will be determined using data as reported by Bloomberg (Bloomberg). The S&P 500 Index closed at 2,409.39 on 19 March 2020.
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The question closed "Up more than 15.0%" with a closing date of 19 June 2020.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Down more than 15.0% | 0% | |
| Down between 5.0% and 15.0%, inclusive | 0% | |
| Between down less than 5.0% and up less than 5.0% | 0% | |
| Up between 5.0% and 15.0%, inclusive | 0% | |
| Up more than 15.0% | 100% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 344 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 235 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 1122 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 651 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
