Started Mar 27, 2020 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Apr 28, 2020 10:00PM UTC

Before 4 July 2020, will Fitch, Moody's, and/or S&P downgrade Italy's long-term foreign currency issuer ratings?

Amidst a full lockdown, Italy's long-term growth potential could take a hit (Reuters, Trading Economics). Revisions to the "outlook" would not count. 

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 28 April 2020 (Fitch).

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Final Crowd Forecast

45%

Chance

Correct Answer

Yes

No. of
Forecasters

130

Forecast
Count

239

Crowd Brier Score

0.4177


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.216
3.
-0.211
4.
-0.209

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