Before 4 July 2020, will Fitch, Moody's, and/or S&P downgrade Italy's long-term foreign currency issuer ratings?

Started Mar 27, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 28, 2020 10:00PM UTC

Amidst a full lockdown, Italy's long-term growth potential could take a hit (Reuters, Trading Economics). Revisions to the "outlook" would not count. 

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 28 April 2020 (Fitch).

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 45.00%
No 55.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 130
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 239
Average for questions older than 6 months: 585
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.228528
2.
-0.216234
3.
-0.210803
4.
-0.208528
5.
-0.206675

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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