Started Apr 03, 2020 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Apr 08, 2020 04:00PM UTC

When will Bernie Sanders cease to be a candidate for the 2020 Democratic nomination for president?

Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders are the two remaining candidates in the race for the Democratic nomination (NPR, NY Times). Examples of what will count for resolution of this question include an official announcement that Sanders no longer seeks the Democratic Party nomination for president or that he is fully suspending his campaign.

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The question closed "Before 1 May 2020" with a closing date of 8 April 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Before 1 May 2020 100%
Between 1 May 2020 and 31 May 2020 0%
Between 1 June 2020 and 30 June 2020 0%
Between 1 July 2020 and 31 July 2020 0%
Not before 1 August 2020 0%

No. of
Forecasters

75

Forecast
Count

120

Crowd Brier Score

0.9593


Most Accurate

Accuracy Score

1.
-0.919
2.
-0.778
3.
-0.551
4.
-0.545
5.
-0.539