Foxes Ask:

Before 1 January 2021, will the Russian constitution be amended to allow Vladimir Putin to remain president after his current term?

Started Apr 17, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 03, 2020 09:00PM UTC

Under Russia's current constitution, President Vladimir Putin is required to step down in 2024 (Guardian). A national vote on constitutional changes that, among other things, would allow him to continue serving as president was scheduled for 22 April 2020, but the vote was postponed due to COVID-19 (NPR, Bloomberg, Wall Street Journal). The processes for amending the Russian constitution are found in Chapter 9 (Constitution.ru, Moscow Times).

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 3 July 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 100.00%
No 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 280
Average for questions older than 6 months: 202
Number of Forecasts 549
Average for questions older than 6 months: 574
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.02861
3.
-0.02861
4.
-0.02841
5.
-0.02841

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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