Foxes Ask:

Will the Council of the European Union make an Article 7.1 determination against Hungary before 31 December 2020?

Started Apr 17, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2020 03:00PM UTC

Hungary's parliament passed emergency measures to allow the government to rule by decree during the coronavirus pandemic, a move being criticized by many as authoritarian (Politico.eu, The Atlantic). Hungary is currently facing Article 7 proceedings, which enables the Council of the European Union to determine whether a member state's actions risk a serious breach of the values of the Treaty of the European Union (Europa.eu, Deutsche Welle, Politico.eu).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 31 December 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 177
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 553
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.015
2.
-0.015
3.
-0.015
4.
-0.015

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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