Started May 01, 2020 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Oct 01, 2020 07:01AM UTC

The Economist asks:

Before 1 October 2020, will North Korea announce that it has a new head of state?

Speculation abounds as to the health and whereabouts of Supreme Leader Kim Jong-un (EconomistYahoo, CNN). The naming of a new head of state in an acting capacity would count.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 October 2020.

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Correct Answer

No

Final Crowd Forecast

0%

Chance

No. of
Forecasters

677

Forecast
Count

1353

Crowd Brier Score

0.0012


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.002
2.
-0.002
3.
-0.002
4.
-0.002
5.
-0.002