The Economist asks:

Before 1 October 2020, will North Korea announce that it has a new head of state?

Started May 01, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2020 07:01AM UTC

Speculation abounds as to the health and whereabouts of Supreme Leader Kim Jong-un (EconomistYahoo, CNN). The naming of a new head of state in an acting capacity would count.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 October 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0.00%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 677
Average for questions older than 6 months: 230
Number of Forecasts 1353
Average for questions older than 6 months: 638
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score


Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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