DueCharge asks:
Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement personnel of Taiwan and the People's Republic of China before 15 December 2020?
Started
May 08, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 15, 2020 08:01AM UTC
Closed Dec 15, 2020 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
A landslide victory by President Tsai Ing-wen in January 2020 and Taiwan's continued military build-up keep eyes focused on the region for potential conflict (Reuters, Taipei Times, Jane's, UNSI News). A lethal confrontation is one that results in one fatality for the military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement of either side.
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 15 December 2020.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | |
| No | 100.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 306 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 925 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 474 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
