DueCharge asks:
Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement personnel of Taiwan and the People's Republic of China before 15 December 2020?
Closed Dec 15, 2020 08:01AM UTC
A landslide victory by President Tsai Ing-wen in January 2020 and Taiwan's continued military build-up keep eyes focused on the region for potential conflict (Reuters, Taipei Times, Jane's, UNSI News). A lethal confrontation is one that results in one fatality for the military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement of either side.
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 15 December 2020.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
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Yes | 0% | |
No | 100.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 306 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208 | |
Number of Forecasts | 925 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |