Started May 18, 2020 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jul 28, 2020 06:59AM UTC

Before 28 July 2020, will Saudi Arabia announce the cancellation or suspension of the Hajj pilgrimage, scheduled for 28 July 2020 to 2 August 2020?




Saudi authorities have suggested that Muslims should delay confirming plans to make the annual pilgrimage to Mecca amid the COVID-19 pandemic (GuardianMiddle East Eye, Al Jazeera). An announcement of restrictions without a cancellation or suspension would not count.


Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.


The question closed "No" with a closing date of 28 July 2020.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.


Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes, before 1 June 2020 0%
Yes, between 1 June 2020 and 30 June 2020 0%
Yes, between 1 July 2020 and 27 July 2020 0%
No 100%

No. of
Forecasters

264

Forecast
Count

948

Crowd Brier Score

0.3088


Most Accurate

Accuracy Score

2.
-0.494
3.
-0.476
5.
-0.401