Before 28 July 2020, will Saudi Arabia announce the cancellation or suspension of the Hajj pilgrimage, scheduled for 28 July 2020 to 2 August 2020?
Started
May 18, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 28, 2020 06:59AM UTC
Closed Jul 28, 2020 06:59AM UTC
Challenges
Saudi authorities have suggested that Muslims should delay confirming plans to make the annual pilgrimage to Mecca amid the COVID-19 pandemic (Guardian, Middle East Eye, Al Jazeera). An announcement of restrictions without a cancellation or suspension would not count.
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 28 July 2020.
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Question clarification
Issued on 06/04/20 12:56pm
GJ Open does not consider the May announcement of the continuation of a curfew in Mecca as it applies to pilgrimages through 21 June, which was in place prior to the launch of this question, to be a de facto announcement by Saudi Arabia about the cancellation or suspension of the Hajj pilgrimage scheduled for 28 July to 2 August 2020.
GJ Open does not consider the May announcement of the continuation of a curfew in Mecca as it applies to pilgrimages through 21 June, which was in place prior to the launch of this question, to be a de facto announcement by Saudi Arabia about the cancellation or suspension of the Hajj pilgrimage scheduled for 28 July to 2 August 2020.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes, before 1 June 2020 | 0% | |
| Yes, between 1 June 2020 and 30 June 2020 | 0% | |
| Yes, between 1 July 2020 and 27 July 2020 | 0% | |
| No | 100% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 264 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 948 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 475 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
