joescusi asks:

Between 15 May 2020 and 30 November 2020, will any Group III U.S. air carrier file for bankruptcy?

Started May 15, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 01, 2020 08:01AM UTC

The COVID-19 outbreak has greatly impacted the aviation industry (Barron's, CNBC, CNN). The 18 carriers that were designated in Group III as of 1 January 2020 are listed here: Bureau of Transportation Statistics. Bankruptcies by holding companies that wholly own a Group III air carrier would count.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 December 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 339
Average for questions older than 6 months: 203
Number of Forecasts 1256
Average for questions older than 6 months: 579
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.832096
2.
-0.827122
3.
-0.811537
4.
-0.808109
5.
-0.785343

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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