The Mack Institute asks:

How many total Fast Charge (>22kW) public charging points for electric vehicles will be installed in the European Union by 31 December 2022?

Started May 22, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC

The adoption of electric vehicles is subject to a "chicken and egg" problem where potential consumers want a more extensive charging network, but businesses want more electric cars on the roads to justify building those new charging stations (Smart Energy International, Reuters). Europe has gone from zero Fast Charger locations in 2011 to 15,136 as of 2019. This question will be suspended on 30 June 2021 and resolved using data from the European Alternative Fuels Observatory (EAFO) for all of 2022, via the graph "Normal and Fast Public Charging Points (2022)" when the filter for "Charger type" is set to "Fast (>22kW)" and the filters at the top of the page are set to "European Union" and "2022".

This question is the longer-term companion of question #1579. The questions are substantively the same, save for the relevant time period. While they are companions, they are independent questions and the resolution of one will not necessarily impact the other.

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The question closed "More than 40,000" with a closing date of 1 January 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 25,000 0%
Between 25,000 and 30,000, inclusive 0%
More than 30,000 but less than 35,000 0%
Between 35,000 and 40,000, inclusive 0%
More than 40,000 100%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 93
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 333
Average for questions older than 6 months: 585
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.445809
3.
-0.436719
4.
-0.427689
5.
-0.421848

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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