What will happen in the first round of the next presidential election in Poland?
Started
Jun 05, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 28, 2020 06:59AM UTC
Closed Jun 28, 2020 06:59AM UTC
Challenges
Poland recently postponed its presidential election due to the COVID-19 pandemic, which was rescheduled for 28 June 2020 (US News, Reuters). An independent endorsed by a political party would count as a candidate of that political party.
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The question closed "A Law and Justice candidate will win a plurality of votes" with a closing date of 28 June 2020.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| A Law and Justice candidate will win a majority of votes | 5% | |
| A Law and Justice candidate will win a plurality of votes | 90% | |
| A Civic Platform candidate will win a majority of votes | 0% | |
| A Civic Platform candidate will win a plurality of votes | 5% | |
| None of the above | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 50 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 124 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
