Ist191 asks:
How many total major hurricanes (Category 3 or higher) will occur in the Atlantic Ocean in the 2020 hurricane season, according to the National Hurricane Center?
Closed Nov 16, 2020 06:00AM UTC
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has forecasted that the 2020 hurricane season, which runs from 1 June 2020 to 30 November 2020, will be busier than average (NOAA). The outcome will be determined using categorizations provided by the National Hurricane Center (National Hurricane Center, National Hurricane Center - Reports).
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The question closed "6 or more" with a closing date of 15 November 2020.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| 2 or fewer | 0% | |
| 3 | 0% | |
| 4 | 30% | |
| 5 | 41% | |
| 6 or more | 29% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 301 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 1476 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
