Before 1 January 2021, who will be elected to be the next leader of Germany's Christian Democratic Union (CDU) party?
Closed Jan 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC
A race to succeed Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer began when she announced unexpectedly in February 2020 that she would step down as CDU party leader (BBC). A leadership vote is expected in December 2020 (Foreign Brief, Euractiv).
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NOTE 25 August 2020: If Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer were reelected as her own "successor," the question would close "A new leader will not be elected before 1 January 2021."
The question closed "A new leader will not be elected before 1 January 2021" with a closing date of 1 January 2021.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Armin Laschet | 0% | |
| Friedrich Merz | 0% | |
| Norbert Röttgen | 0% | |
| Someone else | 0% | |
| A new leader will not be elected before 1 January 2021 | 100% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 88 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 541 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
