Before 26 December 2020, will the Australian government accuse the Chinese government, by name, of being behind the "copy-paste compromises" cyberattacks?

Started Jun 26, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 26, 2020 08:01AM UTC

Australian Prime Minister Scott Morrison said Australian organizations are victim to sustained cyberattacks, but he did not name the attacker (Sydney Morning Herald, Port Swigger). Australia's Cyber Security Center has identified the recent spate of attacks as "copy-paste compromises" (Cyber.gov.au). For the purposes of this question, "Australian government" means the incumbent prime minister or other cabinet-level ministers.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 26 December 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 128
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 406
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.042
2.
-0.042
3.
-0.04
5.
-0.039

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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