Started Jun 26, 2020 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jan 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC

What will U.S. holiday season retail sales be for 2020 relative to the 2019 holiday season?

U.S. retail sales have had dramatic swings during the COVID-19 pandemic, placing the fate of retailers’ all-important holiday season in flux
(Bloomberg, AP). The outcome will be determined using data from the National Retail Federation for 2020 holiday retails sales relative to the same period in 2019, expected in early 2021 (National Retail Federation).
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The National Retail Federation recently announced that it was changing the methodology it intends to use when calculating holiday retail sales for 2020 and has reserved the option to adjust it "as needed" (NRF). Because of this change and particularly due to the prospect of changes and adjustments decided in the future, we are voiding this question. A new version of this question, based on data directly from the U.S. Census Bureau, shall be forthcoming. 

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This question has been voided by an administrator and is no longer active.

The National Retail Federation recently announced that it was changing the methodology it intends to use when calculating holiday retail sales for 2020 and has reserved the option to adjust it "as needed"(https://nrf.com/insights/holiday-and-seasonal-trends/winter-holidays/winter-holiday-faqs). Because of this change and particularly due to the prospect of changes and adjustments decided in the future, we are voiding this question. A new version of this question, based on data directly from the U.S. Census Bureau, shall be forthcoming.
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