Question 6 of 36 in Coronavirus Outbreak
Started Jun 26, 2020 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Jan 01, 2021 07:59AM UTC

What will U.S. holiday season retail sales be for 2020 relative to the 2019 holiday season?

U.S. retail sales have had dramatic swings during the COVID-19 pandemic, placing the fate of retailers’ all-important holiday season in flux
(Bloomberg, AP). The outcome will be determined using data from the National Retail Federation for 2020 holiday retails sales relative to the same period in 2019, expected in early 2021 (National Retail Federation).

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Name Probability
Lower by more than 12.0% 17%
Lower by between 8.0% and 12.0%, inclusive 33%
Lower by more than 4.0% but less than 8.0% 35%
Lower by between 0.0% and 4.0%, inclusive 15%
Higher by more than 0.0% 0%

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