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Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

What will be the total number of confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Taiwan as of 31 July 2022?

3 Forecasters • 3 Forecasts
Started Jun 28, 2022 09:00AM UTC
Closing Aug 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 3.8 million
13%
Between 3.8 million and 4.3 million, inclusive
25%
More than 4.3 million but fewer than 4.8 million
50%
Between 4.8 million and 5.3 million, inclusive
12%
More than 5.3 million but fewer than 5.8 million
0%
Between 5.8 million and 6.3 million, inclusive
0%
More than 6.3 million
0%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

What will be the daily reported natural gas in storage in the EU for 31 July 2022?

3 Forecasters • 3 Forecasts
Started Jun 28, 2022 09:00AM UTC
Closing Aug 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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Less than 650.0 TWh
71%
Between 650.0 TWh and 700.0 TWh, inclusive
29%
More than 700.0 TWh but less than 750.0 TWh
0%
Between 750.0 TWh and 800.0 TWh, inclusive
0%
More than 800.0 TWh
0%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

What will be the closing yield for the US 10-Year Treasury on 1 August 2022?

4 Forecasters • 5 Forecasts
Started Jun 28, 2022 09:00AM UTC
Closing Aug 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
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Less than 2.60
1%
Between 2.60 and 3.00, inclusive
12%
More than 3.00 but less than 3.40
86%
Between 3.40 and 3.80, inclusive
0%
More than 3.80 but less than 4.20
1%
4.20 or higher
0%
Foxes Ask:

Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of a country in the Horn of Africa before 1 April 2023?

85%

Chance
23 Forecasters • 32 Forecasts
Started Jun 24, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Apr 01, 2023 07:01AM UTC

What will the Italy-Germany 10-year bond spread be on 16 December 2022?

13 Forecasters • 16 Forecasts
Started Jun 24, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 16, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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Less than 1.00%
0%
Between 1.00% and 1.50%, inclusive
5%
More than 1.50% but less than 2.00%
17%
Between 2.00% and 2.50%, inclusive
28%
More than 2.50% but less than 3.00%
32%
Between 3.00% and 3.50%, inclusive
15%
More than 3.50%
3%

What will be the market capitalization for the global cryptocurrency market on 2 December 2022, according to CoinMarketCap?

24 Forecasters • 30 Forecasts
Started Jun 24, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 02, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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Less than $400 billion
1%
Between $400 billion and $800 billion, inclusive
35%
More than $800 billion but less than $1.2 trillion
49%
Between $1.2 trillion and $1.6 trillion, inclusive
15%
More than $1.6 trillion but less than $2.0 trillion
0%
Between $2.0 trillion and $2.4 trillion, inclusive
0%
More than $2.4 trillion
0%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

How many travelers will the US Transportation Security Agency (TSA) screen in December 2022?

18 Forecasters • 25 Forecasts
Started Jun 24, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC
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Fewer than 50 million
0%
Between 50 million and 55 million, inclusive
0%
More than 55 million but fewer than 60 million
6%
Between 60 million and 65 million, inclusive
47%
More than 65 million but fewer than 70 million
42%
Between 70 million and 75 million, inclusive
5%
More than 75 million
0%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

What will be the national average price of a gallon of gasoline on 8 November 2022, according to the American Automobile Association (AAA)?

18 Forecasters • 23 Forecasts
Started Jun 24, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 08, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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Less than $3.00
0%
Between $3.00 and $3.50, inclusive
0%
More than $3.50 but less than $4.00
0%
Between $4.00 and $4.50, inclusive
35%
More than $4.50 but less than $5.00
40%
Between $5.00 and $5.50, inclusive
25%
More than $5.50 but less than $6.00
0%
Between $6.00 and $6.50, inclusive
0%
More than $6.50
0%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

How many US House seats will Republicans win in the 2022 midterm elections?

32 Forecasters • 49 Forecasts
Started Jun 24, 2022 05:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 09, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 207
0%
Between 207 and 217
6%
Between 218 and 228
49%
Between 229 and 239
38%
Between 240 and 250
7%
More than 250
0%
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