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Will the Scottish National Party win a majority of seats in the next Scottish Parliament election?

100%

Chance
19 Forecasters • 21 Forecasts
Started Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing May 06, 2021 07:01AM UTC

Will Nicaragua diplomatically recognize the People's Republic of China before 7 November 2021?

4%

Chance
4 Forecasters • 4 Forecasts
Started Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 07, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The Economist asks:

How many seats will the United Russia party win in the 2021 Russian State Duma elections?

10 Forecasters • 10 Forecasts
Started Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 19, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Fewer than 226 seats
0%
Between 226 seats and 299 seats
1%
300 seats or more
99%
Russian State Duma elections will not be held before 20 September 2021
0%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Before 15 July 2021, will an election be held for Moldova's parliament?

3 Forecasters • 3 Forecasts
Started Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Jul 15, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Yes, and the PSRM will win the most seats
24%
Yes, and the PSRM will tie or not win the most
52%
No
24%
The Economist asks:

When will a new Dutch government be sworn in after the 2021 general election?

6 Forecasters • 6 Forecasts
Started Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Sep 18, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Between 18 March 2021 and 17 June 2021
29%
Between 18 June 2021 and 17 September 2021
58%
Not before 18 September 2021
13%

Will a Russian senior government official or Russian naval vessel visit Nicaragua before 7 November 2021?

62%

Chance
6 Forecasters • 7 Forecasts
Started Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Nov 07, 2021 07:01AM UTC

What will Uber's end-of-day market capitalization be on 31 December 2021?

6 Forecasters • 7 Forecasts
Started Jan 15, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 31, 2021 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than $75 billion
1%
Between $75 billion and $100 billion, inclusive
2%
More than $100 billion but less than $125 billion
55%
Between $125 billion and $150 billion, inclusive
30%
More than $150 billion
12%
SE_Meyer asks:

Which NFL team will win Super Bowl LV?

64 Forecasters • 83 Forecasts
Started Jan 08, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Mar 08, 2021 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
The AFC Champion
54%
The NFC Champion
45%
No Super Bowl will be played before 8 March 2021
1%
The Economist asks:

Will North Macedonia announce that it has completed its census before 1 October 2021?

32%

Chance
32 Forecasters • 37 Forecasts
Started Jan 08, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC

Will the New START treaty be extended by Russia and the U.S. before 6 February 2021?

97%

Chance
68 Forecasters • 103 Forecasts
Started Jan 08, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closing Feb 06, 2021 08:01AM UTC
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