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Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will Amazon.com begin to accept any cryptocurrency for purchases on the US site before 1 October 2022?

34%

Chance
40 Forecasters • 45 Forecasts
Started Jul 30, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will Abiy Ahmed cease to be the prime minister of Ethiopia by way of extraconstitutional events before 1 January 2022?

6%

Chance
13 Forecasters • 14 Forecasts
Started Jul 30, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC

What will be the closing price per barrel for West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil on 31 December 2021, according to Bloomberg?

26 Forecasters • 32 Forecasts
Started Jul 30, 2021 02:00AM UTC
Closing Dec 31, 2021 08:01AM UTC
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Less than $30.00
0%
Between $30.00 and $45.00, inclusive
1%
More than $45.00 but less than $60.00
14%
Between $60.00 and $75.00, inclusive
53%
More than $75.00 but less than $90.00
30%
More than $90.00
2%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

When will the FDA and/or CDC recommend that at least some Americans fully vaccinated for COVID-19 receive a COVID-19 vaccine booster shot?

104 Forecasters • 166 Forecasts
Started Jul 23, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Before 1 September 2021
23%
Between 1 September 2021 and 31 October 2021
41%
Between 1 November 2021 and 31 December 2021
30%
Not before 1 January 2022
6%

What will Chinese ride-hailing company DiDi's end-of-day market capitalization be on 31 December 2021?

31 Forecasters • 58 Forecasts
Started Jul 23, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Dec 31, 2021 08:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Less than $25 billion
6%
Between $25 billion and $40 billion, inclusive
26%
More than $40 billion but less than $55 billion
48%
Between $55 billion and $70 billion, inclusive
10%
More than $70 billion
0%
DiDi will cease to be listed on a US stock exchange before 1 January 2022
10%
Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces of Egypt and Ethiopia before 1 January 2022?

3%

Chance
72 Forecasters • 78 Forecasts
Started Jul 23, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC

When will the US Congress agree to a new budget resolution?

31 Forecasters • 49 Forecasts
Started Jul 23, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closing Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
 Show All Possible Answers
Before 9 August 2021
1%
Between 9 August 2021 and 30 September 2021
76%
Not before 1 October 2021
23%
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