Between 7 July 2020 and the end of the season, how many NBA players residing at the Walt Disney World complex will test positive for COVID-19, according to the NBA?

Started Jul 03, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 12, 2020 12:00AM UTC

Several National Basketball Association (NBA) players have tested positive for COVID-19 just as the league is looking to restart the 2019-20 season at the Walt Disney World complex (Wall Street Journal, Slam Online, Wall Street Journal). For purposes of this question, a test indicating a past infection will not count for resolution (CDC).

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The question closed "Between 1 and 7" with a closing date of 11 October 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
0 0%
Between 1 and 7 100%
Between 8 and 14 0%
Between 15 and 21 0%
22 or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 153
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 622
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.355
2.
-0.296
3.
-0.291
4.
-0.269
5.
-0.258

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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