Will President Trump's approval rating be lower on 5 August 2020 than it was on 1 July 2020, according to FiveThirtyEight?
Started
Jul 07, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 05, 2020 06:59AM UTC
Closed Aug 05, 2020 06:59AM UTC
Challenges
The outcome will be determined using "All polls" data provided by FiveThirtyEight's "How Popular Is Donald Trump" page (FiveThirtyEight). On 1 July 2020, Trump's approval rating was 40.5%.
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NOTE 20 July 2020: The outcome will be determined using the "Approve" percentage for 5 August 2020 to be retrieved at approximately 9AM ET on 6 August 2020.
The question closed "No" with a closing date of 5 August 2020.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2.00% | |
| No | 98.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 366 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 1210 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 474 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
