Will the Union Solidarity and Development Party (USDP) win more total Assembly seats in Myanmar's 2020 election than it did in the 2015 election?
Closed Nov 08, 2020 08:00PM UTC
While the National League for Democracy is expected to again win by a wide margin, the impact the USDP might make is unknown (Al Jazeera, Myanmar Times). The USDP won 41 total seats in Myanmar's bicameral Assembly of the Union in the 2015 election, 11 seats in the House of Nationalities and 30 seats in the House of Representatives (BBC). The election is scheduled for 8 November 2020.
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NOTE 19 October 2020: At this time, we do not consider the 16 October 2020 announcement from Myanmar's Union Election Commission to have rendered the planned election void for the purposes of this question (Union Electoral Commission [in Burmese]). The question will remain open as is.
The question closed "No" with a closing date of 8 November 2020.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 86% | |
No | 14% | |
No election will be held in 2020 | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 40 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207 | |
Number of Forecasts | 147 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |