Who will win the 2020 Bolivian presidential election?
Closed Oct 18, 2020 10:00PM UTC
After the controversial re-election and subsequent resignation of leftist president Evo Morales in late 2019, a special general election had been scheduled for 3 May 2020 but was later postponed due to the coronavirus pandemic (France24, Americas Quarterly, AS/COA). Interim president Jeanine Áñez signed off on the new date, with the first round of voting scheduled for 6 September 2020 and a runoff scheduled for 18 October 2020 if needed (Página Siete [in Spanish]).
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T he question closed "Luis Arce" with a closing date of 18 October 2020.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Jeanine Áñez | 0% | |
Luis Arce | 56% | |
Carlos Mesa | 44% | |
Someone else | 0% | |
No election will be held in 2020 | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 62 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208 | |
Number of Forecasts | 434 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |