Who will win the 2020 Bolivian presidential election?
Started
Jul 17, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 18, 2020 10:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 18, 2020 10:00PM UTC
Challenges
After the controversial re-election and subsequent resignation of leftist president Evo Morales in late 2019, a special general election had been scheduled for 3 May 2020 but was later postponed due to the coronavirus pandemic (France24, Americas Quarterly, AS/COA). Interim president Jeanine Áñez signed off on the new date, with the first round of voting scheduled for 6 September 2020 and a runoff scheduled for 18 October 2020 if needed (Página Siete [in Spanish]).
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T he question closed "Luis Arce" with a closing date of 18 October 2020.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Jeanine Áñez | 0% | |
| Luis Arce | 56% | |
| Carlos Mesa | 44% | |
| Someone else | 0% | |
| No election will be held in 2020 | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 62 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 434 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 475 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
