Between 25 July 2020 and 25 November 2020, will a lethal confrontation in Libya result in five or more fatalities for Egyptian armed forces?
Started
Jul 24, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 26, 2020 08:01AM UTC
Closed Nov 26, 2020 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
On 20 July 2020, Egypt's parliament unanimously approved a troop deployment to a "western front," which some have interpreted to refer to Libya (Al Jazeera, Anadolu Agency). A lethal confrontation in Libyan airspace or territorial waters would count.
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 26 November 2020.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | |
| No | 100.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 161 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 496 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
