What will be Rocket Companies' end-of-day market capitalization on the day of its initial public offering (IPO)?

Started Jul 31, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 06, 2020 10:00PM UTC
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On 11 June 2020, CNBC reported that mortgage lender Quicken Loans had confidentially filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission for an eventual IPO (CNBC, The Street). The IPO for the company, being rebranded as Rocket Companies, is expected in early August (Barron's). The outcome will be determined by the end-of-day Market Capitalization figure reported by Bloomberg.

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The question closed "Between $35 billion and $45 billion, inclusive" with a closing date of 6 August 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than $35 billion 3%
Between $35 billion and $45 billion, inclusive 91%
More than $45 billion but less than $55 billion 6%
$55 billion or more 0%
Quicken Loans will not have an IPO before 31 October 2020 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 35
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 74
Average for questions older than 6 months: 585
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.436567
2.
-0.396367
5.
-0.327967

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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