Before 1 January 2022, will the U.S. Senate expand the scope of matters for which a filibuster cannot be used?

Started Jul 31, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 10, 2021 06:30PM UTC

In April 2017, Senate Republicans eliminated the filibuster for the confirmation of Supreme Court Justices by changing the rules so that debate on nominees could be ended with a simple majority vote rather than a three-fifths majority (Reuters). Whether the filibuster will be further eroded remains to be seen (The Atlantic, Brookings Institute).

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NOTE 10 December 2021: Since an expansion of the scope of matters for which a filibuster cannot be used has taken the form of legislation, the question would only close once that legislation, passed by the Senate, becomes law.

The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 10 December 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 2.00%
No 98.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 208
Average for questions older than 6 months: 205
Number of Forecasts 1181
Average for questions older than 6 months: 582
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

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