Before 1 January 2022, will the U.S. Senate expand the scope of matters for which a filibuster cannot be used?
Closed Dec 10, 2021 06:30PM UTC
In April 2017, Senate Republicans eliminated the filibuster for the confirmation of Supreme Court Justices by changing the rules so that debate on nominees could be ended with a simple majority vote rather than a three-fifths majority (Reuters). Whether the filibuster will be further eroded remains to be seen (The Atlantic, Brookings Institute).
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NOTE 10 December 2021: Since an expansion of the scope of matters for which a filibuster cannot be used has taken the form of legislation, the question would only close once that legislation, passed by the Senate, becomes law.
The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 10 December 2021.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
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Yes | 2.00% | |
No | 98.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 208 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 193 | |
Number of Forecasts | 1181 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 554 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |