Which U.S. presidential candidate will have raised the most campaign money as of 30 September 2020?

Started Aug 07, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2020 07:01AM UTC

The 2020 presidential campaign is shaping up to be the most expensive in U.S. history (Reuters). The major party candidate totals were neck-and-neck as of the end of June 2020, with Biden and supporters with $410 million versus Trump and supporters with $416 million (Opensecrets.org (Biden), Opensecrets.org (Trump)). The outcome will be determined using "Total Raised" data for each candidate provided by the Center for Responsive Politics after the final pre-election quarterly reports are published per deadlines set by the Federal Election Commission (Federal Election Commission).

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The question closed "Joe Biden (D)" with a closing date of 1 October 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Joe Biden (D) 100%
Donald Trump (R) 0%
Someone else 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 161
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 567
Average for questions older than 6 months: 585
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.263825
2.
-0.248702
3.
-0.234211
4.
-0.234211
5.
-0.223891

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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