Before 14 February 2021, will former King Juan Carlos I and/or former Catalan President Carles Puigdemont return to Spain?

Started Aug 14, 2020 05:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 14, 2021 08:01AM UTC
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Former King Juan Carlos I of Spain has reportedly left Spain in light of recent controversies, while former Catalan President Carles Puigdemont has continued living abroad in exile following the 2017 independence referendum that the Spanish government declared to be illegal (BBC, CatalanNews, AP).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 14 February 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes, only Juan Carlos I 0%
Yes, only Carles Puigdemont 0%
Yes, both 0%
No 100%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 116
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 272
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.002235
2.
-0.002235
4.
-0.002049
5.
-0.002049

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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