Started Aug 14, 2020 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Feb 14, 2021 08:01AM UTC

Before 14 February 2021, will former King Juan Carlos I and/or former Catalan President Carles Puigdemont return to Spain?

Tags
Challenges

Former King Juan Carlos I of Spain has reportedly left Spain in light of recent controversies, while former Catalan President Carles Puigdemont has continued living abroad in exile following the 2017 independence referendum that the Spanish government declared to be illegal (BBC, CatalanNews, AP).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.


The question closed "No" with a closing date of 14 February 2021.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes, only Juan Carlos I 0%
Yes, only Carles Puigdemont 0%
Yes, both 0%
No 100%

No. of
Forecasters

116

Forecast
Count

272

Crowd Brier Score

0.0007


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.002
3.
-0.002
4.
-0.002
5.
-0.002

Tip: Mention someone by typing @username