What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 Index on 22 September 2020 relative to its closing value on 28 August 2020?
Started
Aug 28, 2020 10:45PM UTC
Closed Sep 22, 2020 07:01AM UTC
Closed Sep 22, 2020 07:01AM UTC
Challenges
The outcome will be determined using data as reported by Bloomberg (Bloomberg). The S&P 500 Index closed at 3,508.01 on 28 August 2020.
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The question closed "Down between 4.0% and 12.0%, inclusive" with a closing date of 22 September 2020.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Down more than 12.0% | 0% | |
| Down between 4.0% and 12.0%, inclusive | 97% | |
| Between down less than 4.0% and up less than 4.0% | 3% | |
| Up between 4.0% and 12.0%, inclusive | 0% | |
| Up more than 12.0% | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 81 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 491 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
