Started Aug 28, 2020 10:45PM UTC   •   Closed Sep 22, 2020 07:01AM UTC

What will be the closing value of the S&P 500 Index on 22 September 2020 relative to its closing value on 28 August 2020?

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The outcome will be determined using data as reported by Bloomberg (Bloomberg). The S&P 500 Index closed at 3,508.01 on 28 August 2020.

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The question closed "Down between 4.0% and 12.0%, inclusive" with a closing date of 22 September 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Down more than 12.0% 0%
Down between 4.0% and 12.0%, inclusive 97%
Between down less than 4.0% and up less than 4.0% 3%
Up between 4.0% and 12.0%, inclusive 0%
Up more than 12.0% 0%

No. of
Forecasters

81

Forecast
Count

491

Crowd Brier Score

0.2831


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.178
2.
-0.17
3.
-0.129
4.
-0.119
5.
-0.089