Started Aug 28, 2020 10:45PM UTC   •   Closed Sep 22, 2020 07:01AM UTC

What will be the closing yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury on 22 September 2020?

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The outcome will be determined using data from CNBC (CNBC).

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The question closed "More than 1.400% but less than 1.600%" with a closing date of 22 September 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 1.200% 0%
Between 1.200% and 1.400%, inclusive 14%
More than 1.400% but less than 1.600% 86%
Between 1.600% and 1.800%, inclusive 0%
More than 1.800% 0%

No. of
Forecasters

67

Forecast
Count

340

Crowd Brier Score

0.0921


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.062
3.
-0.039
4.
-0.038
5.
-0.038