What will be the closing yield for the 30-year U.S. Treasury on 22 September 2020?

Started Aug 28, 2020 10:45PM UTC
Closed Sep 22, 2020 07:01AM UTC

The outcome will be determined using data from CNBC (CNBC).

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The question closed "More than 1.400% but less than 1.600%" with a closing date of 22 September 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 1.200% 0%
Between 1.200% and 1.400%, inclusive 15%
More than 1.400% but less than 1.600% 85%
Between 1.600% and 1.800%, inclusive 0%
More than 1.800% 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 67
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 340
Average for questions older than 6 months: 585
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.062282
3.
-0.038724
4.
-0.038266
5.
-0.038058

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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