When will the U.S. Senate confirm Amy Coney Barrett to the Supreme Court?
Started
Sep 28, 2020 04:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 27, 2020 12:07AM UTC
Closed Oct 27, 2020 12:07AM UTC
Challenges
In the wake of the death of Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg and amid the final weeks of the 2020 presidential election campaign, President Trump nominated Amy Coney Barrett to the Supreme Court amid backlash from Senate Democrats (NPR, Politico).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
The question closed "Before 3 November 2020" with a closing date of 26 October 2020.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Before 3 November 2020 | 99% | |
| Between 3 November 2020 and 4 January 2021 | 1% | |
| Not before 5 January 2021 | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 188 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 527 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
