Started Sep 28, 2020 04:00PM UTC   •   Closed Oct 27, 2020 12:07AM UTC

When will the U.S. Senate confirm Amy Coney Barrett to the Supreme Court?

In the wake of the death of Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg and amid the final weeks of the 2020 presidential election campaign, President Trump nominated Amy Coney Barrett to the Supreme Court amid backlash from Senate Democrats (NPR, Politico).

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The question closed "Before 3 November 2020" with a closing date of 26 October 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Before 3 November 2020 99%
Between 3 November 2020 and 4 January 2021 1%
Not before 5 January 2021 0%

No. of
Forecasters

188

Forecast
Count

527

Crowd Brier Score

0.044


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.04
3.
-0.04
4.
-0.04
5.
-0.04