Before 14 December 2020, will the U.S. Supreme Court hear oral arguments in a case related to any state’s 2020 presidential election results?

Started Nov 06, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 14, 2020 08:01AM UTC

Following this year’s presidential election, the Trump campaign has filed suit over the treatment of mail-in ballots for several states (AP, The Hill). Presidential electors are scheduled to meet and vote in their respective states on 14 December 2020 (Congressional Research Service).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 14 December 2020.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 227
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 684
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.048
2.
-0.048
3.
-0.048
4.
-0.047
5.
-0.047

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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