The Economist asks:
Who will be appointed as the next leader of the Communist Party in Vietnam?
Closed Mar 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC
Vietnam's next National Party Congress is scheduled for January 2021, at which the next secretary-general of the party is meant to be appointed (Economist, Vietnam Times). Rumors have suggested some of the top leadership positions could be consolidated (Diplomat).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
NOTE 26 January 2021: If a new leader other than the incumbent is not appointed before 1 March 2021, then the question will close "A new leader will not be appointed before 1 March 2021."
The question closed "A new leader will not be appointed before 1 March 2021" with a closing date of 1 March 2021.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Nguyễn Thị Kim Ngân | 0% | |
| Nguyễn Xuân Phúc | 0% | |
| Trần Quốc Vượng | 0% | |
| Someone else | 0% | |
| A new leader will not be appointed before 1 March 2021 | 100% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 132 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 207 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 298 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 587 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
