Will members of Sudan's military or paramilitary attempt to remove Omar al-Bashir as President of Sudan before 1 May 2017?
Started
May 03, 2016 05:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 30, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 30, 2017 05:00PM UTC
Omar al-Bashir came to power in a coup in 1989 before being elected President (BBC, NY Times). There are a number of underlying social, economic, and political factors that could place Sudan at risk for a coup attempt (Dart Throwing Chimp).
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This question was closed as "no" with an end date of 30 April 2017. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
This question was closed as "no" with an end date of 30 April 2017. See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | |
| No | 100.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 199 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 205 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 1019 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 582 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
