At close of business on 31 December 2021, will Apple be the most valuable publicly traded company in the world?

Started Dec 31, 2020 06:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 31, 2021 08:01AM UTC
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On 31 July 2020, Apple passed Saudi Aramco to become the world's most valuable publicly traded company (CNBC, NPR). The outcome will be determined using market capitalization data as provided by Bloomberg (Bloomberg - APPL, see "MARKET CAP"). For companies with shares denominated in a currency other than U.S. dollars, the relevant dollar exchange rate as of 31 December 2021 will be used to assess its value in dollars (e.g., Bloomberg - ARAMCO, Bloomberg - SAR).

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The question closed "Yes, the most valuable in the world" with a closing date of 31 December 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes, the most valuable in the world 100%
No, but the most valuable in the United States 0%
No 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 147
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 632
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.258
2.
-0.257
3.
-0.256
4.
-0.256
5.
-0.255

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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