Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
How many confirmed cases of COVID-19 will have been reported by the World Health Organization (WHO) for the United Kingdom as of 1 February 2021?
The outcome will be determined using data as reported by WHO (WHO).
The question closed "More than 3,500,000 but fewer than 4,000,000" with a closing date of 1 February 2021.
|Possible Answer||Correct?||Final Crowd Forecast|
|Fewer than 3,000,000||0%|
|Between 3,000,000 and 3,500,000, inclusive||0%|
|More than 3,500,000 but fewer than 4,000,000||100%|
|Between 4,000,000 and 4,500,000, inclusive||0%|
|More than 4,500,000||0%|