Question 21 of 103 in In the News 2021
Started Dec 31, 2020 06:00PM UTC   •   Closing Feb 01, 2021 08:01AM UTC

Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

How many confirmed cases of COVID-19 will have been reported by the World Health Organization (WHO) for the United Kingdom as of 1 February 2021?

The outcome will be determined using data as reported by WHO (WHO).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

Name Probability
Fewer than 3,000,000 0%
Between 3,000,000 and 3,500,000, inclusive 0%
More than 3,500,000 but fewer than 4,000,000 70%
Between 4,000,000 and 4,500,000, inclusive 30%
More than 4,500,000 0%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username