Will the UN declare that a famine exists in any part of Yemen in 2021?

Started Jan 22, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC

Years of civil war and other factors have greatly increased food insecurity in Yemen, and the UN and others fear that US policy toward Houthi rebels may exacerbate the problems and lead to famine in the country (UN, Radio Canada International, In Depth News). For general information on how famines are declared, see: Integrated Food Security Phase Classification, NPR.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 122
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 546
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.207
2.
-0.196
4.
-0.185
5.
-0.176

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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