Started Feb 03, 2021 07:00PM UTC   •   Closed Feb 27, 2021 08:01AM UTC

How many deaths attributed to COVID-19 in the U.S. will be reported for the week starting 21 February 2021?

The outcome will be determined using COVID-19 deaths data as recorded in the Johns Hopkins University (JHU) CSSE GitHub data repository for 21 February 2021 through 27 February 2021, inclusive (JHU CSSE GitHub). The total will be calculated by taking the sum of the 20 February 2021 column and subtracting it from the sum of the 27 February 2021 column, inclusive of all rows. The data will be accessed no sooner than 6 March 2021.

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The question closed "Fewer than 14,000" with a closing date of 28 February 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Fewer than 14,000 43%
Between 14,000 and 16,000, inclusive 57%
More than 16,000 but fewer than 18,000 0%
Between 18,000 and 20,000, inclusive 0%
More than 20,000 but fewer than 22,000 0%
Between 22,000 and 24,000, inclusive 0%
More than 24,000 0%

No. of
Forecasters

101

Forecast
Count

483

Crowd Brier Score

0.2769


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.262
2.
-0.243
3.
-0.226
4.
-0.216
5.
-0.212

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