Started Feb 03, 2021 07:00PM UTC   •   Closed Feb 27, 2021 08:01AM UTC

How many confirmed cases of COVID-19 in the U.S. will be reported for the week starting 21 February 2021?

The outcome will be determined using COVID-19 confirmed cases data as recorded in the Johns Hopkins University (JHU) CSSE GitHub data repository for 21 February 2021 through 27 February 2021, inclusive (JHU CSSE GitHub). The total will be calculated by taking the sum of the 20 February 2021 column and subtracting it from the sum of the 27 February 2021 column, inclusive of all rows. The data will be accessed no sooner than 6 March 2021.

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The question closed "Fewer than 600,000" with a closing date of 28 February 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Fewer than 600,000 100%
Between 600,000 and 750,000, inclusive 0%
More than 750,000 but fewer than 900,000 0%
Between 900,000 and 1,050,000, inclusive 0%
More than 1,050,000 but fewer than 1,200,000 0%
Between 1,200,000 and 1,350,000, inclusive 0%
More than 1,350,000 0%

No. of
Forecasters

112

Forecast
Count

392

Crowd Brier Score

0.0832


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.084
2.
-0.079
3.
-0.076
4.
-0.063
5.
-0.063

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