Started Feb 03, 2021 07:00PM UTC   •   Closed Feb 28, 2021 08:01AM UTC

How many people in the U.S. will have received one or more doses of a COVID-19 vaccine as of 28 February 2021, according to the CDC?

The outcome will be determined using COVID-19 vaccination data as recorded by the CDC (updated daily) under “Number of People Receiving 1 or More Doses” at approximately 10:00PM ET on 28 February 2021 (CDC).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

This question has ended, but is awaiting resolution by an admin.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast
Fewer than 50,000,000 98.00%
Between 50,000,000 and 53,000,000, inclusive 2.00%
More than 53,000,000 but fewer than 56,000,000 0.00%
Between 56,000,000 and 59,000,000, inclusive 0.00%
More than 59,000,000 but fewer than 62,000,000 0.00%
Between 62,000,000 and 65,000,000, inclusive 0.00%
More than 65,000,000 0.00%
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username