How many people in the U.S. will have received one or more doses of a COVID-19 vaccine as of 28 February 2021, according to the CDC?
Started
Feb 03, 2021 07:00PM UTC
Closed Feb 28, 2021 08:01AM UTC
Closed Feb 28, 2021 08:01AM UTC
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The outcome will be determined using COVID-19 vaccination data as recorded by the CDC (updated daily) under “Number of People Receiving 1 or More Doses” at approximately 10:00PM ET on 28 February 2021 (CDC).
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The question closed "Fewer than 50,000,000" with a closing date of 28 February 2021.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Fewer than 50,000,000 | 98% | |
| Between 50,000,000 and 53,000,000, inclusive | 2% | |
| More than 53,000,000 but fewer than 56,000,000 | 0% | |
| Between 56,000,000 and 59,000,000, inclusive | 0% | |
| More than 59,000,000 but fewer than 62,000,000 | 0% | |
| Between 62,000,000 and 65,000,000, inclusive | 0% | |
| More than 65,000,000 | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 169 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 732 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
