Started Feb 10, 2021 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC

Econja2018 asks:

Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 January 2022?

President Vladimir Putin has dominated Russian politics since he succeeded Boris Yeltsin as president in 1999 (Britannica). There has been speculation whether he may step down, even though he's eligible for reelection in 2024 (Newsweek, Al Jazeera).

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0.00%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 237
Average for questions older than 6 months: 254
Number of Forecasts 555
Average for questions older than 6 months: 683
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.0
4.
-0.0
5.
-0.0

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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