How many deaths attributed to COVID-19 in the U.S. will be reported for the week ending 27 March 2021?

Started Mar 03, 2021 07:00PM UTC
Closed Mar 27, 2021 07:01AM UTC

The outcome will be determined using COVID-19 deaths data as recorded in the Johns Hopkins University (JHU) CSSE GitHub data repository for 21 March 2021 through 27 March 2021, inclusive (JHU CSSE GitHub). The total will be calculated by taking the sum of the 20 March 2021 column and subtracting it from the sum of the 27 March 2021 column, inclusive of all rows. The data will be accessed no sooner than 4 April 2021.

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The question closed "More than 6,000 but fewer than 8,000" with a closing date of 28 March 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Fewer than 4,000 0%
Between 4,000 and 6,000, inclusive 9%
More than 6,000 but fewer than 8,000 91%
Between 8,000 and 10,000, inclusive 0%
More than 10,000 but fewer than 12,000 0%
Between 12,000 and 14,000 inclusive 0%
More than 14,000 but fewer than 16,000 0%
Between 16,000 and 18,000 inclusive 0%
More than 18,000 but fewer than 20,000 0%
20,000 or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 104
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 437
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.053
3.
-0.046
4.
-0.041
5.
-0.04

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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