How many confirmed cases of COVID-19 in the U.S. will be reported for the week ending 27 March 2021?
Closed Mar 27, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The outcome will be determined using COVID-19 confirmed cases data as recorded in the Johns Hopkins University (JHU) CSSE GitHub data repository for 21 March 2021 through 27 March 2021, inclusive (JHU CSSE GitHub). The total will be calculated by taking the sum of the 20 March 2021 column and subtracting it from the sum of the 27 March 2021 column, inclusive of all rows. The data will be accessed no sooner than 4 April 2021.
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The question closed "More than 400,000 but fewer than 500,000" with a closing date of 28 March 2021.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Fewer than 100,000 | 0% | |
| Between 100,000 and 200,000, inclusive | 0% | |
| More than 200,000 but fewer than 300,000 | 0% | |
| Between 300,000 and 400,000, inclusive | 59% | |
| More than 400,000 but fewer than 500,000 | 41% | |
| Between 500,000 and 600,000, inclusive | 0% | |
| More than 600,000 but fewer than 700,000 | 0% | |
| Between 700,000 and 800,000, inclusive | 0% | |
| More than 800,000 but fewer than 900,000 | 0% | |
| 900,000 or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 109 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 487 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
