How many people in the U.S. will have received one or more doses of a COVID-19 vaccine as of 31 March 2021, according to the CDC?
Closed Mar 31, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The outcome will be determined using COVID-19 vaccination data as reported by the CDC (updated daily) for “People Receiving 1 or More Doses” (CDC). The data will be accessed no sooner than 4 April 2021. If the CDC changes how it reports vaccination data, we will provide clarifying language as necessary. For the purposes of this question, a person receiving a single-dose vaccine would count as a person having received one or more doses of a COVID-19 vaccine.
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NOTE 8 March 2021: We received a clarification request regarding when we will access the data on this question. For greater clarity, we will evaluate the data the morning of 7 April 2021.
The question closed "Between 100,000,000 and 105,000,000, inclusive" with a closing date of 31 March 2021.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Fewer than 70,000,000 | 0% | |
| Between 70,000,000 and 75,000,000, inclusive | 0% | |
| More than 75,000,000 but fewer than 80,000,000 | 0% | |
| Between 80,000,000 and 85,000,000, inclusive | 0% | |
| More than 85,000,000 but fewer than 90,000,000 | 0% | |
| Between 90,000,000 and 95,000,000, inclusive | 0% | |
| More than 95,000,000 but fewer than 100,000,000 | 11% | |
| Between 100,000,000 and 105,000,000, inclusive | 89% | |
| More than 105,000,000 but fewer than 110,000,000 | 0% | |
| Between 110,000,000 and 115,000,000, inclusive | 0% | |
| More than 115,000,000 | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 183 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 207 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 759 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 587 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
