Which film will win the 2020 Oscar® for Directing?

Started Mar 17, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 25, 2021 07:01AM UTC
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The 93nd Academy Awards, known as the Oscars®, are scheduled for 25 April 2021 (Oscars).

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The question closed "Nomadland (Chloé Zhao)" with a closing date of 25 April 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Another Round (Thomas Vinterberg) 0%
Mank (David Fincher) 1%
Minari (Lee Isaac Chung) 3%
Nomadland (Chloé Zhao) 95%
Promising Young Woman (Emerald Fennell) 1%
A tie or other outcome 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 73
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 160
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.106
2.
-0.106
4.
-0.102
5.
-0.099

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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