How many deaths attributed to COVID-19 in the US will be reported for the week ending 1 May 2021?
Closed May 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The outcome will be determined using COVID-19 deaths data as recorded in the Johns Hopkins University (JHU) CSSE GitHub data repository for 25 April 2021 through 1 May 2021, inclusive (JHU CSSE GitHub). The total will be calculated by taking the sum of the 24 April 2021 column and subtracting it from the sum of the 1 May 2021 column, inclusive of all rows. The data will be accessed no sooner than 9 May 2021.
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The question closed "Between 4,500 and 6,000, inclusive" with a closing date of 2 May 2021.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Fewer than 1,500 | 0% | |
| Between 1,500 and 3,000, inclusive | 0% | |
| More than 3,000 but fewer than 4,500 | 8% | |
| Between 4,500 and 6,000, inclusive | 92% | |
| More than 6,000 but fewer than 7,500 | 0% | |
| Between 7,500 and 9,000 inclusive | 0% | |
| More than 9,000 but fewer than 10,500 | 0% | |
| Between 10,500 and 12,000 inclusive | 0% | |
| More than 12,000 | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 77 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 160 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 295 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 475 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
