How many confirmed cases of COVID-19 in the US will be reported for the week ending 1 May 2021?
Closed May 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The outcome will be determined using COVID-19 confirmed cases data as recorded in the Johns Hopkins University (JHU) CSSE GitHub data repository for 25 April 2021 through 1 May 2021, inclusive (JHU CSSE GitHub). The total will be calculated by taking the sum of the 24 April 2021 column and subtracting it from the sum of the 1 May 2021 column, inclusive of all rows. The data will be accessed no sooner than 9 May 2021.
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The question closed "More than 250,000 but fewer than 350,000" with a closing date of 2 May 2021.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Fewer than 150,000 | 0% | |
| Between 150,000 and 250,000, inclusive | 0% | |
| More than 250,000 but fewer than 350,000 | 73% | |
| Between 350,000 and 450,000, inclusive | 27% | |
| More than 450,000 but fewer than 550,000 | 0% | |
| Between 550,000 and 650,000, inclusive | 0% | |
| More than 650,000 but fewer than 750,000 | 0% | |
| Between 750,000 and 850,000, inclusive | 0% | |
| More than 850,000 | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 71 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 341 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
