Question 12 of 131 in In the News 2021
Started Apr 07, 2021 06:00PM UTC   •   Closing Apr 30, 2021 07:01AM UTC

How many people in the US will have received one or more doses of a COVID-19 vaccine as of 30 April 2021, according to the CDC?

The outcome will be determined using COVID-19 vaccination data as reported by the CDC (updated daily) for “People with at least One Dose” (CDC). The data will be accessed no sooner than 9 May 2021. If the CDC changes how it reports vaccination data, we will provide clarifying language as necessary. For the purposes of this question, a person receiving a single-dose vaccine would count as a person having received one or more doses of a COVID-19 vaccine.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Name Probability
Fewer than 130,000,000 0%
Between 130,000,000 and 140,000,000, inclusive 0%
More than 140,000,000 but fewer than 150,000,000 5%
Between 150,000,000 and 160,000,000, inclusive 84%
More than 160,000,000 but fewer than 170,000,000 11%
Between 170,000,000 and 180,000,000, inclusive 0%
More than 180,000,000 0%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username