How many people will have been fully vaccinated against COVID-19 in the US as of 30 April 2021, according to the CDC?
Closed Apr 30, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The outcome will be determined using COVID-19 vaccination data as reported by the CDC (updated daily) for “People Fully Vaccinated” (CDC). The data will be accessed no sooner than 9 May 2021. If the CDC changes how it reports vaccination data, we will provide clarifying language as necessary.
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The question closed "Between 105,000,000 and 115,000,000, inclusive" with a closing date of 30 April 2021.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Fewer than 85,000,000 | 0% | |
| Between 85,000,000 and 95,000,000, inclusive | 0% | |
| More than 95,000,000 but fewer than 105,000,000 | 66% | |
| Between 105,000,000 and 115,000,000, inclusive | 34% | |
| More than 115,000,000 but fewer than 125,000,000 | 0% | |
| Between 125,000,000 and 135,000,000, inclusive | 0% | |
| More than 135,000,000 | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 95 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 290 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
