Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
What will happen next regarding New York Governor Andrew Cuomo?
Closed Aug 10, 2021 04:00PM UTC
New York Governor Andrew Cuomo is facing calls to resign amid a series of sexual harassment allegations and questions about his handling of COVID-19 policy with nursing homes (ABC News, CBS News, City & State New York). If Cuomo announces both that he will not seek reelection as governor and has resigned or will resign in the same statement, the question would close "Cuomo will announce that he will resign as governor."
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The question closed "Cuomo will either resign as governor or announce that he will resign as governor" with a closing date of 10 August 2021.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Cuomo will announce that he will not seek reelection as governor in 2022 | 21% | |
| Cuomo will either resign as governor or announce that he will resign as governor | 57% | |
| Cuomo will be removed from office by an impeachment trial | 2% | |
| None of these will occur before 1 April 2022 | 20% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 115 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 412 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 584 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
