Started May 05, 2021 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jun 05, 2021 07:01AM UTC

How many US adult and pediatric hospital admissions with confirmed COVID-19 cases will there be for the week ending 5 June 2021?

The outcome will be determined using hospital admissions data as recorded in the Department of Health and Human Services' "COVID-19 Reported Patient Impact and Hospital Capacity by State Timeseries" for the week ending 5 June 2021 (Healthdata.gov). The total will be calculated by adding data from two columns, "previous_day_admission_adult_covid_confirmed" and "previous_day_admission_pediatric_covid_confirmed," inclusive of the District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, and US Virgin Islands. As these are "previous day" data, we will use the data dated 31 May 2021 through 6 June 2021, inclusive. The data will be accessed on 14 June 2021.

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The question closed "Between 10,000 and 20,000, inclusive" with a closing date of 6 June 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Fewer than 10,000 0%
Between 10,000 and 20,000, inclusive 69%
More than 20,000 but fewer than 30,000 31%
Between 30,000 and 40,000, inclusive 0%
More than 40,000 but fewer than 50,000 0%
Between 50,000 and 60,000, inclusive 0%
More than 60,000 but fewer than 70,000 0%
Between 70,000 and 80,000, inclusive 0%
More than 80,000 0%

No. of
Forecasters

25

Forecast
Count

64

Crowd Brier Score

0.0843


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.064
2.
-0.043
3.
-0.042
4.
-0.04
5.
-0.025

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