Started May 05, 2021 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jun 05, 2021 07:01AM UTC

How many confirmed cases of COVID-19 in the US will be reported for the week ending 5 June 2021?

The outcome will be determined using COVID-19 confirmed cases data as recorded in the Johns Hopkins University (JHU) CSSE GitHub data repository for 30 May 2021 through 5 June 2021, inclusive (JHU CSSE GitHub). The total will be calculated by taking the sum of the 29 May 2021 column and subtracting it from the sum of the 5 June 2021 column, inclusive of all rows. The data will be accessed on 14 June 2021.

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The question closed "Fewer than 150,000" with a closing date of 6 June 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Fewer than 150,000 100%
Between 150,000 and 250,000, inclusive 0%
More than 250,000 but fewer than 350,000 0%
Between 350,000 and 450,000, inclusive 0%
More than 450,000 but fewer than 550,000 0%
Between 550,000 and 650,000, inclusive 0%
More than 650,000 but fewer than 750,000 0%
Between 750,000 and 850,000, inclusive 0%
More than 850,000 0%

No. of
Forecasters

37

Forecast
Count

206

Crowd Brier Score

0.0733


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.039
2.
-0.028
3.
-0.02
4.
-0.015
5.
-0.015

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